El Niño November?
November 2026 has started off mild, which isn’t all that unusual. But are we seeing the effects of the super El Niño? Yes and no. First, there clearly as been an El Niño pattern to the US precipitation over the last few weeks, sort of. Here’s the percent of normal precipitation for the past 30 days. All of that rainfall in the Southwest as well as Florida, along with a drier Northwest certainly fits the typical El Niño pattern. But the rainfall anomalies in the northern Rockies and Plains states aren’t so El Niño like. So what exactly does this pattern look like on the weather maps? Can you see it? I’ll give you an example. First, here’s the weather map for Tuesday. A deep low is forecast off the West Coast. This looks promising for our area, right., Here’s the weather map by Thursday afternoon. The deep low (labeled #1) that looked like it was headed our way, is instead forecast to go well to our south, into Southern Ca...