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Storms on the Fourth?

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Way back on June 23rd, I mentioned that some of the long range computer forecasts were hinting at the potential for storms on Independence Day, but they were in the minority.  Nine days later and that's still the case.  The consensus is that any storms that do form on the 4th will move from northeast Oregon, across the Palouse, and into the Idaho Panhandle.  This is what we typically see in the summer. But the European ensemble model run from last night and today has been trending toward a higher chance of showers making it up to Spokane, and possibly farther north.  Here's the latest chance of rain from the European model on Pivotal Weather. There's high confidence of storms south and east of Lewiston, ID.  But 53% of the forecasts also expect some of the showers to make it up to Spokane and possibly northeast Washington.   The US model says that the chance of rain is much lower.  It would take storms from northeast Oregon and move them into the ...