Heat then Cool and Wet - Update 2

The upcoming pattern change is still pretty much still on track with the forecast the computers have been advertising.  Monday will be the hottest day with daytime temperatures in the mid-90s.  Then we'll cool 4-5 degrees each day through the rest of the work week.

One nice element this week for curing hay will be the breezy winds.  Each day should feature winds of about 10 mph (green shading in the image below) with gusts to 15 mph (yellow shading).  Nighttime winds should go calm for the next few nights which will allow humidities to climb high enough to form a light dew.  But by Wednesday night and Thursday night, there could be a light breeze all night in some locations which could hinder dew formation.


The chances for rain are still hard to pin down.  This is in large part because this isn't a large frontal band of rain we're talking about.  It's more showery, and as such, hit or miss.

The European models still point to Friday as the best day of week for rain, with about a 40-50% chance of 0.01" or more.



And as in previous blogs, the rainfall amount still looks to be on the lighter side. The chance of 0.25" or more of rain is only about 5% on Friday.  So if you have hay that is baled by Thursday, you may want to get it picked up before any rain falls on Friday.  But if you have hay down and don't mind a little rain, then perhaps Friday's weather won't be a terrible thing.  

There continue to be a few computer forecasts that predict a half inch or more of rain, although these are way in the minority.  And there are also some that keep this area dry into next week, keeping the showers well north and east of Spokane.


The other note to take away from the graphic above is that the chances of rain do take a bit of a dip for Sunday but then start increasing a little each day next week.

Even beyond the graphic above, the computers continue to show that a new storm will drop into the Northwest in the latter half of next week.  This will keep the threat of showers going through at least the 23rd of June with near-normal temperatures.  Again, this doesn't mean lots of rainfall necessary.  But it does mean that it's unlikely we will see a hot and dry stretch of weather until the last few days of June, at the earliest.



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