More Wind

If wind is what you like, then you're in luck, because there's more wind on the way.  But first, we'll have another chilly night tonight.  Yesterday's dry cold front brought in some very dry air behind it.  This allowed our temperature to drop into the upper 30s this morning in a few locations.  Deer Park airport only had a maximum relative humidity of 66% this morning.  Hard to have much dew in those conditions..  For Thursday morning expect temperatures to be in the mid-to-upper 30s in many locations.  I would expect there to be more dew tonight.

A stronger area of low pressure will then start drop into our area starting Friday.  


The clouds ahead of this front will keep our temperatures mild Thursday night (45-50F) and the wind will start up early Friday morning.  Both of these are bad for dew formation Friday morning.

Speaking of the wind.  Friday's wind will be similar to yesterday (Tuesday), but probably not quite as gusty.  Saturday will a tad windier than Friday.  Also, notice that the wind on Friday night is still 5-10 mph.  So again, I doubt there will be much if any dew on Saturday morning.  After Saturday, the wind calms down to more typical speeds next week.  Watch out for freezing temperatures Thursday morning and Sunday morning.


What about rain with the storm this weekend?  By Saturday, the low pressure is pretty much right over the Pacific Northwest.


And even by Monday, the cool low pressure is still lingering over our area.


This is a showery pattern for our area.  Starting Saturday afternoon and continuing into next week, there will be a chance of showers each afternoon.

Overall this is not a heavy rain pattern.  Most showers will probably only have a few hundredths, with a couple of showers raining a tenth of an inch.  But remember what I've said about low pressure to our south. That can be a wet pattern if the forecast changes a bit.  A very small percentage (5%) of the computers show a wet forecast for our area.

I've shown this graphic before.  It shows the total precipitation accumulation over 10 days from the 30 US computer forecasts.  Each line is a different computer forecast.  You can see that just about all of the forecasts keep the accumulated rainfall for the next 10 days below 0.20" (which isn't much).  But there are a few rogue forecasts that bring us about 0.60", and 3 forecasts that give us more than 1.00" of rain over the next 10 days.  So the odds greatly favor light rain showers for the next week.  But the chances of heavier rain isn't zero.


Looking a bit farther into the future, weak low pressure is expected to persist in the West.  The warm ridge of high pressure will be over the eastern half of the US.  The Climate Prediction Center expects that this will provide us with near-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall for the period of June 19-25.




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